Hartnett: Mariano Rivera’s 602 Deserves To Be Placed On An Equal Pedestal As Other MLB Records

‘Hart of the Order’
By Sean Hartnett
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The closer position has often been discriminated against by statistical mavens and a certain faction of baseball writers.  ESPN’s Jim Caple famously wrote that closers earning a save in the 9th inning “merely conclude what is usually a foregone conclusion.”

I’ve read the works of Baseball Prospectus along with a bevy of notable writers who constantly downplay the importance of the save.  Their stance is that the save is a glorified statistic that caters to the team’s star reliever by creating a role that pays them a higher wage than a set-up man or middle reliever.  Another criticism of the closer’s role is that it is a marketing tool that generates excitement that keeps fans inside the ballpark to continue filling the owner’s pockets.

Statistically, chances are slim that the trailing team will come back from a deficit of two or three runs.  In those situations, 94-96% of saves are completed.  There is definitely a strong argument against using your best reliever exclusively in the 9th inning.

Formerly, the top bullpen arm would enter in the 8th inning or sometimes 7th inning to relieve the starter who had gotten into a jam and finish the game.  The ‘sea change’ in closer usage occurred during the 1980s when managers decided that it was best to save their best reliever for one-inning appearances.  It is completely the manager’s discretion which inning to use his top reliever.  Whether it is to close out a game in the 9th inning, relieve a faltering set-up man or to be called upon when the 3-4-5 hitters in their lineup come around, this is entirely the manager’s call and their preference is not affected by salaries or marketing.

Managers today simply feel safer having their best reliever close out games.  Let’s not hold this practice against Mariano Rivera or his record-breaking accomplishment of 602 career saves.

To downplay Rivera’s achievement would be like saying that a superb-fielding infielder only gets awarded a Gold Glove because ‘it is a forgone conclusion that he can cleanly field routine grounders.’  It’s not Rivera’s fault that he isn’t usually called upon in the 8th inning when the opposition’s 3-4-5 hitters come to bat.

Simply put, Rivera is the most efficient and consistent closer the game has ever seen.  His saves record of 602 and counting should be revered similarly to Nolan Ryan’s strikeout record.  Randy Johnson fell well short of matching the Ryan’s mark of 5,714 and when it’s all said and done, it will be a very difficult task for anyone to surpass Rivera once he decides to call it a day.

For argument’s sake, let’s say that Rivera finishes this season with 5 additional saves and averages 40 saves over the next four seasons and retires at the age of 45.  That would bring his career total to 767.

Francisco Rodriguez’s save total currently stands at 291 and is serving as the Milwaukee Brewers’ set-up man behind closer John Axford.  Rodriguez will in all likelihood become a free agent after Milwaukee declines his $17.5M option.  K-Rod is still only 29 and will attempt to sign on with a team that offers him a long-term contract to become their closer.

For Rodriguez who will be 30 in 2012 to surpass Rivera’s estimate, he would have to pitch twelve more years at a rate of 40 saves per season.  That would bring K-Rod’s career total to 771.  There isn’t any guarantee that Rodriguez will be able to pitch Rivera’s current age of 41 or be anywhere near as consistent to continue closing at that age.

How about a more conservative example of Rivera deciding to pitch only two more years instead of four?  Using the 40 save per season guide, Rivera would finish with 687 if I include an estimated five additional saves of 2011.  Rodriguez then wouldn’t even equal Rivera’s potential mark if he averaged 40 saves over the next nine seasons at 651.  For all we know, K-Rod could be reduced to a set-up man or out of baseball entirely by the age of 38.

Once he retires, Rivera’s record will be a legitimately difficult one to break.  His consistency is something we celebrate today but it will look even more outstanding once his career is finished.  Mariano is simply the best all-time example of a closer and I’m certain we will not see another like him.

Does Rivera’s record deserve greater praise from the baseball community?  Share your opinions below and send your tweets to @HartyLFC.


One Comment

  1. CN says:

    It’s a nice accomplishment, but it would be even nicer if he could have pulled out the most important saves that he blew in 2001against Arizona and in 2004 against Boston

    1. MikeD says:

      Take a look at the big games he did win in 2009, 2001, 2000,…..

      He is not perfect, but he is the greatest closer ever on the greatest baseball Team ever!!!

      Congratulations St. MO; Cooperstown awiats your arrival.

    2. Anthony says:

      FYI – Every series in the post season is just as important as the next.

      He’s human, not superman. You bring up 2004, now why that doesn’t surprise me, but in 2003 when Boston was leading the ALCS two (2) games to none (0), the Yankees came back & won in 7 games with Marino saving 2 of the 4 games.

      He is the best. One hiccup (‘04) or two (Arizona) was not the end of the world. He helped the Yankees win again in ’09.

      Check his stats listed below by Hector. Yes, I know, very impressive. Don’t hate the player, hate the game.

    3. KPMc says:

      Wow… you can almost smell the bitter Mets fan coming from this comment.

  2. Kurt Spitzner says:

    what can’t i do, reference another sportswriter?????????????????you sensors really need to get a grip on reality or reset the machine a bit more carefully because being able to say this and not anything pertaining to the article really STINKS!

  3. Hector says:

    funny, Mo didn’t need to break the record to be consider the best closer ever. If he would have retired with just 450 saves he still would be the best ever.

    I love when people say look at Fingers & Gossage, they at times pitched more the one inning in a game, but I also remember them not pitching for 2 days after because they needed to rest the arm..

    Mo is ready to pitch in every game. He has pitched many games coming in the 8th inning.

    Just look at Mo’s career stats – 1039 games, 75-57, 602 saves & a 2.22 ERA

    Post season stats

    Division Series (37 games, 2-0, 18 saves, .033 ERA) – League Championship (33 games, 4-0, 13 saves, .092 ERA)- World Series (24 games 2-1, 11 saves, .099 ERA)

    5 World Series 5 rings – No one comes even close. The Best Ever

    And all done playing for just one (1) team.

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