HARTFORD, Conn. (CBSNewYork) – A poll released Tuesday shows if Connecticut Gov. Dannel Malloy opts to seek re-election in November, he’s again likely to face a close race.

As WCBS 880 Connecticut Bureau Chief Fran Schneidau reported, the governor’s race is shaping up to look like a rematch of the 2010 election.

Four years ago, Malloy defeated Republican candidate Tom Foley by less than a percentage point. The first Quinnipiac University poll of the 2014 race shows the numbers between the two have not budged, Schneidau reported.

“In a rematch, we find in our poll that Foley would get 42 percent and Malloy would get 42 percent if the election were held today,” poll director Douglas Schwartz told Schneidau.

LINK: Full Poll Results (pdf)

Schwartz added the poll shows trouble for the incumbent because his approval rating remains below 50 percent.

Malloy gets a 48 percent approval rating from Connecticut voters, while 45 percent disapprove. Voters are divided 45 percent to 46 percent on whether he should be reelected, according to the poll.

Foley faces a GOP primary with five other candidates who want to become the state’s next governor.

The Greenwich businessman leads the pack of possible Republican nominees with 36 percent support, the poll found. Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton is his nearest competitor, at 11 percent.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,878 registered Connecticut voters by telephone from Feb. 26 to March 2. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.3 percentage points.

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