By Abraham Gutierrez
The New York Jets got their first season under head coach Todd Bowles off to a hot start, winning four of their first five games and, for a moment, appeared to be a legitimate threat to the New England Patriots in the AFC East. Nevertheless, all that talk has quieted down significantly, as Gang Green has lost two straight games, dropping their season record to 4-3, which puts them in damage-control mode.
Luckily, a favorable schedule should get this team back on track, as a visit by the (2-5) Jacksonville Jaguars couldn’t come at a better time. Having that said, ATS trends and other betting information shows the Jets better not take the Jags lightly, or this game could turn into a nail-biter.
Jaguars vs. Jets 2015 NFL Odds
Before getting into the latest NFL point spreads for this contest, it’s worth noting that NFL oddsmakers were forced to take down their opening lines immediately after publishing them. This was caused by the uncertainty surrounding the Jets quarterback situation, as it was unknown weather Ryan Fitzpatrick, Geno Smith or Bryce Petty would start in Week 9.
Following Wednesday’s practice, Bowles announced that Fitzpatrick would get the nod despite tearing at least one ligament in his thumb last week against the Raiders.
With that settled, NFL oddsmakers felt comfortable dubbing the New York Jets (-6.5) the team to beat, listing them as six-and-a-half point favorites when the Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5) invade MetLife Stadium. Also, the point-total has been squared off, with these teams projected to combine and score an OVER/UNDER total of 48.5 points.
Jacksonville vs. New York Jets Head-To-Head Stats
As stated above, these teams may not match up well in terms of season records, but if overlooked, Jax could make things interesting. That’s because the Jaguars have done rather well versus the Jets in ATS situations, sporting a 4-1 record in their last five visits to the Big Apple, and are 6-1 in their last eight meetings with the “J-E-T-S!”
Jaguars ATS Trends To Consider (Week 9)
Their notable performances against the Jets in ATS situations aren’t the only cause for concern for New Yorkers, as the Jaguars have earned a 6-2 record in their last eight games played against the American Football Conference. Unfortunately for the felines, that’s about as far as the positives go.
Gus Bradley’s team comes in with a 12-25-2 ATS record versus teams with a winning record, have lost 13 of their last 19 games against after allowing more than 250 yards the week prior, and have been able to muster just 14 wins in 51 occasions following games when their defense surrenders more than 350 total yards.
New York Jets ATS Trends To Consider (Week 9)
If this team is able to live up to its ATS accomplishments on paper, they should have no problem putting away the Jaguars by seven points or more. The first encouraging sign is their perfect (4-0) record after an ATS loss, which was the case last week, as they found themselves on the losing end of a rout courtesy of the surprising Raiders.
In addition, this team is also 7-1-1 in their last nine contests against fellow AFC foes, and have protected home field their six times out, posting a 5-1 ATS mark during that span.
Finally, there’s also plenty of evidence to support the Jets beat the teams they’re supposed to, owning a 4-1 ATS record versus teams with a losing record, as well as the following ATS trends to consider heading into Week 9:
- New York is 7-2-1 in its last 10 games overall.
- New York is 6-2 after its offense accumulates less than 90 rushing yards.
- New York is 5-2 following a straight-up loss.
2015 NFL Week 9 Picks: New York Jets -6.5
Abe Gutierrez’s (Twitter: @GutierrezAbe) passion led him to ditch law school journey in order to launch his own publishing company. His expertise make him a valued addition to Examiner.com, AXS.com and the CBS-Sports family. Some of his work can be found on CBS-Miami (Dolphins), CBS-LosAngeles (Chargers), CBS-BayArea (Raiders), CBS-NewYork (NY Jets), CBS-TampaBay (Buccaneers), AXS.com, Examiner.com and other online publications.