Update Jan. 31 9:10 p.m. 

By Giorgio Panetta, CBS2 Chief Meteorologist/Weather Producer

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NEW YORK (CBSNewYork) — We are looking at a potentially major Nor’easter starting late Sunday and lingering through early Tuesday.

Expect changes — even a subtle track shift could make a big difference with this storm.

LINK: Check The Latest Forecast

Here is an early look at a timeline of the storm:

6 p.m. Sunday – 6 a.m. Monday: Snow starts to fill in southern New Jersey up through Monmouth County.

Snow showers are possible in New York City by sunset, but the steadiest snowfall holds off until later in the evening.

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6 a .m. – 6 p.m. Monday: The brunt of the storm blossoms north and in NYC, and however far the storm pushes north will get into heavier snow. Winds will be gusting 40-45 mph in NYC to 50+ mph along the coasts. Coastal issues could arise.

Snow could fall at heavy rates of 1″ to 2″ per hour at times, leading to near whiteout conditions.

6 p.m. Monday – 6 a.m. Tuesday: Storm brunt is Monday afternoon, but it could linger into early Tuesday morning with gusty winds and stronger snow bands.

6 a.m. Tuesday: Lingering snow showers taper off through the day.

So how much snow should you expect by the time the storm moves out?

The New York City area could see around 12-18 inches, but there are pockets where 18-24 inches are possible just northwest of New York City.

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