NEW YORK (CBSNewYork/AP) – A new poll shows it will be a tight race for former Democratic Rep. Anthony Weiner’s 9th congressional district seat.
LINK: Read The Full Siena Poll
The district, which covers parts of Brooklyn and Queens, has never elected a Republican.
The poll also looked at the influence of candidate endorsements by politicians and newspapers.
“One of the people whose endorsement really does matter a lot is former Mayor Ed Koch,” said Siena pollster Steve Greenberg. “Ed Koch, a Democrat, has endorsed Republican Turner in this race and voters like Ed Koch and say his endorsement matters.”
But people surveyed said that endorsements by three of New York City’s daily newspapers wouldn’t help in their decision.
Greenberg says the key to who wins this election will be voter turnout.
“Which campaign will do a better job of identifying their voters and getting their voters to the polls,” said Greenberg. ”Because as we know, special elections tend to have a very low voter turnout. Probably fewer than 20 percent of the registered voters in the 9th congressional district will actually go to the polls and vote.”
By 2 to 1, voters also wanted their representative to vote for a debt ceiling law
and more than 3/4 said they did not like the direction the country is taking.
The poll of 501 likely voters was conducted August 3-8 by phone and had a sampling margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
Turner is a retired media executive who ran unsuccessfully against Weiner in the general election last year.
He was elected to the Assembly in 2010 after serving in the City Council for eight years.
Weiner resigned in June in the wake of a Twitter sexting scandal.
The special election on September 13 will also include six Assembly districts with vacancies that need to be filled.
Those are in Oneida County, Erie County, Brooklyn, Manhattan and two in Queens.
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